Brexit and the housing market

By September 5, 2018 UK Property Market

Paresh Raja, CEO of Market Financial Solutions, discusses what impact Brexit is having on the UK property market as real estate continues to be seen as a good investment

On 23 June 2016, the UK went to the polls to determine whether the country should remain a member of the European Union (EU). After months of fierce political debate leading up to the vote, the public ultimately decided in favour of leaving the EU. The implications of this decision were felt almost immediately, with the then Prime Minister David Cameron tendering his resignation and the pound plummeting in value.

Some economic commentators feared the Brexit decision had ushered in a new era of stagnant market growth, with investors less likely to consider investment into the UK. In the ensuring months, however, the positive performance of the UK economy demonstrated that people had not been deterred from pursuing real estate investment opportunities. A survey of investors commissioned by Market Financial Solutions (MFS) at the beginning of the year found that 77% do not think Brexit is likely to affect their long-term investment strategies.

Of all the asset classes on offer in the UK, residential and commercial real estate have remained popular for those seeking an investment that can deliver stable returns. The MFS report found that 63% regard property as a safe and secure asset, with 18% of investors considering to invest in one or more properties over the next 12 months.

With Brexit scheduled to formally commence on 29 March 2019, businesses, investors and consumers have been given little detail on how the withdrawal process will be managed. For property investors, homeowners and prospective house buyers, an awareness of the current market trends is vital. Such awareness ensures UK society is ideally placed to take advantage of the property opportunities during the Brexit transition period.

House prices rise steadily
Since 2000, UK house prices have been steadily rising as a result of sustained market demand for property. Over the two years since the EU referendum, house prices across the UK have grown on average by 7.3%.

The rate of house price growth may have slowed down in London, but there are two primary reasons why this should not be cause for concern. Firstly, the average price of a London home sits at £476,752. To put this into perspective, the UK’s average house is currently worth £228,384. Secondly, the city’s allure as a cosmopolitan city continues to attract investment from domestic and foreign investors. Foreign direct investment from Asian countries have proven to be particularly popular. For example, South Korean investment into the UK property market totalled £1.1 billion in the first half of 2018, with £1 billion of this used to facilitate real estate transactions in the capital.

Outside of London, the UK’s regional cities have become investment hotspots for property investors. The performance of Manchester and Edinburgh’s housing market has been nothing short of impressive, with each experiencing respective house price growth of 7% and 7.1%. The reasons for this range from affordability to the new-build development projects and reflect the positive outlook construction companies and prospective homebuyers hold towards the future growth prospects of the UK’s regional cities.

Housing policy
Historically, attempts to resolve the housing crisis have been undermined by a lack of policy cohesion. For example, since 2000, there have been 18 different housing ministers. This makes the ability to deliver long-term policy particularly difficult. Part of the government’s efforts to resolve the housing crisis stem from promoting new-build developments.

However, the overall effectiveness of the government’s approach to encouraging housing construction has been questioned – a survey earlier in the year revealed that only 12% of surveyors think the government can reach its target of 300,000 new homes a year.

Based on the resilient performance of the property market over the past few months, Brexit certainty has not deterred prospective homebuyers from seeking real estate investment. This makes it extremely important for the government to ensure that the current imbalance between housing supply and demand is addressed in the lead-up, duration and follow-through of the UK’s transition outside of the EU.

Alternative finance
The global financial crisis was a defining moment for the UK’s financial sector. The imposition of strict lending measures imposed by banks made it difficult for investors and businesses to acquire the credit they needed to pursue new investment opportunities.

In response, alternative finance instruments such as bridging rose in popularity, offering access to fast, flexible and tailored loan solutions. Since September 2011, annual bridging loan completions have jumped from £474 million to an impressive £4 billion at the beginning of the year.

With 29 March 2019 set as the Brexit date, there is the risk of traditional lenders introducing strict lending rules similar to what was seen a decade ago. This time, alternative finance instruments will be at the ready to meet market demand for fast capital.

While it is difficult to pinpoint exactly how Brexit will affect the property market, the trends that have transpired following the EU referendum suggest that property will remain a popular investment. House prices are rising, and with demand outweighing supply, there is an added onus on the government to ensure people can move up the property ladder. The uncertainty surrounding Brexit could also lead to tighter credit controls, however, the rise of alternative finance means that investors are well-placed to access capital.

Source: Mortgage Finance Gazette

Castel Residential

Author Castel Residential

More posts by Castel Residential

Leave a Reply

 

KMG SICAV SIF – The Castel Residential Property Fund AIFMD Disclaimer


The Castel Residential Property Fund is a Dedicated Fund of KMG SICAV – SIF (the “Company” or the “Fund”), a Luxembourg-registered “Société d’Investissement à Capital Variable” authorised and regulated by the Luxembourg regulator, the Commission de Surveillance du Secteur Financier (CSSF), governed by the Law of 13th February 2007 and qualified as an Alternative Investment Fund (“AIF”) of the specialised investment funds type, managed by KMG Capital Markets Ltd, an external Alternative Investment Fund Manager (“AIFM”), established in the Republic of Cyprus, in accordance with the Chapter II of the Directive 2011/61/EU of the European Parliament and of the Council of 8 June 2011 on Alternative Investment Fund Managers (“AIFMD”) and regulated by the Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission (“CySEC”).

By accessing this information you shall be deemed to accept and agree to be bound by the terms of this notice. This communication is directed only at institutional investors and/or professional investors and/or Eligible Counterparties, within the meaning of Annex II to Directive 2014/65/EU (“MiFID II”), and/or any other authorised financial intermediaries. It should not be distributed to, or relied on by, any other type of investors. The Fund cannot be promoted to investors for whom it has not been deemed appropriate. If you do not fall into this category do not read this document. The information contained herein is confidential and is intended only for the persons to whom it is transmitted by the company or authorised distributors.

Any information that is specified in Article 23 (1) of the AIFMD will be delivered by the Distributor and/or the AIFM to the potential investors upon request, before they invest in the Dedicated Fund. This information is not directed at you if we are prohibited by any law of any jurisdiction from making the information in this document available to you and is not intended for any use that would be contrary to local law and/or regulation.

This document and its contents are only intended to provide general information about The Castel Residential Property Fund.

Neither we nor any third parties provide warranty or guarantee as to the completeness, timelines, or adequacy of the information provided herewith. Past performance of any investment is not always indicative of future performance and investments are subject to many risk factors. The value of The Castel Residential Property Fund and its share classes are calculated without taking into account any placement or redemption fees and assuming constant reinvestments of dividends.

The use of any information or materials in this document is entirely at your own risk, for which we expressly exclude liability to the fullest extent permitted by law. It shall be your own responsibility to ensure that any products, services or information available through this document meet your specific requirements.

Nothing in this document should be regarded as an offer or solicitation to conduct investment business or buy or sell any investment products, nor does it constitute any form of personal recommendation. This document does not constitute legal advice and is merely intended to raise awareness of issues relating to The Castel Residential PropertyFund. We shall not incur liability of any kind should this document be used as a basis for responding to legal questions.